SPC Albany Area Convective Outlooks
Outlooks are issued by the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC)
35°F
Thunderstorms: No severe thunderstorms expected. Lightning/flooding threats exist with all thunderstorms.
Marginal Risk: Isolated severe thunderstorms possible. Limited in duration and/or coverage and/or intensity.
Slight Risk: Scattered severe thunderstorms possible. Short‑lived and/or not widespread; isolated intense storms possible.
Enhanced Risk: Numerous severe thunderstorms possible. More persistent and/or widespread; a few intense.
Moderate Risk: Widespread severe thunderstorms likely. Long‑lived, widespread, and intense.
High Risk: Widespread severe thunderstorms expected. Long‑lived, very widespread, and particularly intense.
Predictability Too Low (days 4–8): Indicates severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios, but confidence is low due to large model differences, ensemble spread, or poor run‑to‑run continuity.
Potential Too Low (days 4–8): Severe storms appear highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g., less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS).
Tornado Outlook: Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched areas represent a 10%+ chance of EF2–EF5 tornadoes.
Hail Outlook: Probability of 1"+ hail within 25 miles of a point. Hatched areas represent a 10%+ chance of 2"+ hail.
Wind Outlook: Probability of 50‑kt+ thunderstorm winds within 25 miles of a point. Hatched areas represent a 10%+ chance of 65‑kt+ winds.
Source NWS Storm Prediction Center